El Hierro still going strong and a riddle

Some parts (?) of El Hierro experienced a short power outage last night, This was also viewable on the solitary working webcam at the moment which was noticed by some regulars. Quite some earthquakes Mag. 3+ and even some Mag 4+ have been recorded.

chryphia created a new plot which shows the action going on:

Quote:” Here is another 3D plot, no overlays this time .
It shows the current swarm and the older earthquakes in two separate color scales. I wanted to see where the central El Golfo bay earthquakes are located exactly: they are slap-bang in the middle of the northernmost, deep (magenta) swarm, barely visible in this plot. This is where all the other swarms originated, thus I am worried that there is even more magma arriving now. For a good 2D view look at http://www.01.ign.es/ign/resources/volcanologia/html/eventosHierro.html

“

Earthquake Report has a link to an image of all the spectrograms of this crisis stitched together: http://jdcv.es/Media/Hierro/2013/CHIE_upto2903_B.jpg
from http://earthquake-report.com/2011/09/25/el-hierro-canary-islands-spain-volcanic-risk-alert-increased-to-yellow/
Noted by Jim Ludwell.

Earthquake-report.com also used chryphias plot without giving her credit which I personally find absolutely not OK.

Many can explain the current crisis much better than I ever could. So here there are some comments to good to be lost:

GeoLurking says: March 29, 2013 at 04:37
Quote: “when this whole thing was first bopping along, the gov was reticent about doing anything until it became clear that Mag 4.0 quakes were a possibility. Mag 4.0 was where they flinched and it was clear that something could shake loose and hurt somebody, so that was about when they started taking precautions.

One thing that Carl noted was that the seismic gear was probably not set up for volcano monitoring and that IGN and Pevloca had to undergo a paradigm shift from watching for potential landslides to watching for volcanic activity. Outside experts were consulted and new gear was brought in. (the temporary seismic stations and the additional GPS units.)

Now 4.0s seem to be regular fare. It doesn’t lessen the hazard. A 4.0 still releases considerably more energy than a 3.0.
For now, the most immediate threat is still the same. Something getting shaken loose from the bluffs.

Then there is how it plays in the volcano scheme of things. If the quakes are being caused by magma forcing it’s way through the rock, the best that I can envision is a series of normal mode faults. A 3.0 has a maximum displacement of 0.275cm. A 4.0 has 1.17cm. That’s would be a crack about 4.3 times the size of the 3.0. Keep in mind that this is probably pushing the Wells-Coppersmith equations a bit outside of what they were intended for, but it does illustrate the differences in the two quake sizes.

If it is magma pushing through rock, what has happened is that the hoop stress of the rock around the area of the magma has been exceeded and the magma breaks open the rock with what is probably a mode 1 crack. This realm of math is beyond me, so I rely on the Wells-Coppersmith crutch to provide some level of understanding. Going whole hog, and looking at the rest of the formula… a normal mode fault of Mag 4.0 has a down dip rupture width of 1.82 km. If intruding magma is what is at play, it could conceivably make a path about half of that width higher each time it happens. If that starts to show up in the quakes…“

Read the whole comment by clicking it.

Renato Rio says: March 29, 2013 at 13:34
Quote: “The PEVOLCA maintains civil protection measures in El Hierro and follows the evolution of the phenomenon
03/29/2013 … 12:38 – Ministry of Economy, Finance and Security
* The data indicate that the seismicity has migrated to the southwest in the last 24 hours. The direction of the Civil Protection Plan for Volcanic Risk (PEVOLCA) maintains civil protection measures that were taken last Wednesday in El Hierro given the magnitude of the seismicity that is occurring to the west of the island.
As you may recall the steps taken by the management of PEVOLCA are the following:
Disabled the lane closest to the on the output side of Frontera tunnel closing the stretch of road between the HI 50 between Cruce de la Tabla and Sabinosa and the access road to the Playa La Madera, the Pozo de la Salud to the confluence with the HI 503. It is important to avoid transit through these areas because of the risk of landslides.
Accesses are opened to the Ermida de los Reyes and the southern Sabinar area, HI 400
Meanwhile it is maintained the yellow alert of information to the population in the area bounded by the HI 500 and the height of the Pozo de la Salud to the south, at the confluence of the HI HI 500 with 400 in the crossroads known as El Tomillar.
As for the seismo-volcanic phenomena, earthquakes located in the last 24 hours have migrated slightly to the southwest over previous days, reaching the west of Orchilla between 15 and 20 kilometers deep at a distance from the coast between 12 and 15 kilometers. The values ​​of CO2 in the atmosphere have increased but are still within normal parameters.
The direction of PEVOLCA wants to remind you that they are doing continuous monitoring and real-time of thr phenomenon, so any change in the pattern of movements that imply risk will be communicated immediately. It also recommends considering the advice of self-protection in the event of earthquakes, known to all, and can be viewed in http://www.gobiernodecanarias.org/dgse/descargas/sismo_hierro/autop_sismo.pdf“

Bruce Stout did some drawings:
To understand the images one needs to read Bruce’s comment and all the follow up’s by Peter Cobbold and Bruce. Bruce Stout says: March 29, 2013 at 14:23

Richie Lee gave us a link to a TV station in the Canary islands where some news might be broadcasted. Canary TV: They don’t stream everything but most live newscasts are available. The last few days they have had coverage of the El Hierro activity.

http://www.rtvc.es/television/enDirecto.aspx?canal=tv

I personally do not think any eruption is imminent, but it is interesting to watch. And in case you need the links again, just holler.

Spica

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A riddle for tonight, while we are watching what is happening in El Hierro and Iceland!
Same as last week …. so link the each clue to a volcano and spot the red herring ….

1 point for each volcano and 1 point for each red herring (with brief explanation)

All solved … Red herrings in bold … Answers ..

No 1 Big Ben

No 2 Mount Churchill

No 3 Hekla

No 4 Glen Coe

No 1 – 2745; Furious 50s; New York landmark; Augustus Pugin; SOLVED
No 2 – Bobsleigh run; Radiocarbon; Battle of Stepney; Infantry Tank; SOLVED
No 3 – 1750; 1104; 1864; 4892; SOLVED
No 4 – 1692; Easter Island; Cauldron subsidence; Harry Potter; SOLVED

Points .. Well done all

Kelda  4 points

Volcanic 2 points

Stephanie Alice Halford 1 point

Inge B 1 point

Kilgharrah

Eifel Volcanic Field II

Recently Nathan took you on a comfortable journey into the Eifel volcanic field. But what is the origin of this intraplate volcanism and where will the journey go?

About 400 million years ago during the Devonian, the Age of Fish, when only plants and insects roamed the land, Laurussia and Gondwana converged into the supercontinent of Pangaea forming the European Variscan Belt. It includes vast mountain ranges stretching from Portugal to Turkey. The Rhenish Massif in central Europe is one of the outcrops of this period, others are the Massif Central in France or the Bohemian Massif in Czech Republic and Poland.

The Rhenish Massif is mainly made of highly folded sedimentary metamorphic rocks, mostly slates, hence the name “Rheinisches Schiefergebirge” or “Rhenish Slate Range”.

Geological map of the Rhenish Massif. Author Jo Weber (Wikimedia Commons)

When the Age of the Mammals dawned and Africa started to collide with Eurasia, a whole lot of volcanic activity started north of the rising Alps. This belt was termed European Cenozoic Volcanic Province by Meyer and Foulger. In the Alpine forelands extensional rift systems developed with the Rhine graben as a prominent feature. Volcanic activity of that period can be found in France (Massif Central), Germany (High Eifel, Westerwald, Vogelsberg, Rhön), The Czech Republic (Eger graben) and Poland (Lower Silesia).

Figure 1 from Meyer and Foulger http://www.mantleplumes.org/Europe.html

The ductile and tough shale and slate bedrock of the Rhenish Massif presumably was incompatible with extensional rifting. Instead the region acted as a hinge between shear rifting along the Upper Rhine Graben and extensional rifting at the Lower Rhine Basin (Illies et al. 1981).

Tectonic situation in central Europe (from this thesis, modified from Illies and Fuchs, 1983)

The Eifel volcanic field is situated west of the Rhine river near Koblenz in the center of the Rhenish Massif. Fluvial deposits prove that this area was uplifted up to 300 m since the Pliocene epoch 5 million years ago and that the uplift had accelerated during the last 800,000 years with maximal elevation around the Eifel volcanic field. Since then the Rhine river and its tributaries were forced to cut deep valleys through the Rhenish Massif, flowing past Hunsrück and Taunus, Eifel and Westerwald, Ardennes and Süder Uplands.

Uplift in the Rhenish Massif, from Meyer and Stets (2002)

The most recent volcanic activity in the West and East Eifel volcanic fields coincides with this uplift which amounts to 0.35 mm per year on average. The dome building may be a combination of widespread uplift of the so-called Rhenish Shield due to horizontal deformation from Alpine orogeny (Illies et al., 1979 and 1981; Meyer and Stets, 2002) and more locally by uplift due to the Eifel mantle plume (Schmincke, 2007).

To study the deep structures of the Eifel region the Eifel Plume project temporarily deployed a large network of seismic stations in 1997. A shear wave velocity model suggested a 100 km wide low-velocity structure extending down at least 400 km into the upper mantle which could indicate an area of increased temperature and partial melting. It remains debated whether this anomaly caused the Eifel volcanism. Other volcanic areas of the European Cenozoic Volcanic Province lack clear evidence of deep mantle plumes and the spacial distribution and timing of eruptive phases is not consistent with movement of the European plate over a fixed hot spot.

Alternative models could be a magma source derived from previous Alpine subduction or local decompression melting from passive rifting caused by tectonic deformation of the crust. Notably, the Mohorovičić discontinuity (Moho) is only 30 km deep below the Eifel while under the Alps it goes down to about 50 km which could give rise to some mantle turbulence and convection.

South-North section of the Moho beneath Europe between 6 and 9° longitude. Depth is highly exaggerated (Image by chryphia). Data from www.seismo.helsinki.fi/mohomap/

There is an overwhelming amount of literature about the recent quaternary activity of the 300+ volcanoes in the Eifel, sadly most of it paywalled or even without online access, because published in books or exotic German journals. So the following is taken from secondary literature. The eruptive history was e.g. summarized by Schmincke in Mantle Plumes (2007), Schmitt et al. (2010) (see Fig. 1 here for a map of geological map of the East Eifel volcanic field) and is nicely illustrated in this German blog post.

In summary, there seem to have been at least four main eruptive phases:

700,000 to 450,000 years before present: the main bulk of monogenetic volcanoes, small cinder cones and short lava flows erupted in the West Eifel and late some in the East Eifel. Their lava contained leucite (potassium rich) basalts, poor in SiO₂, indicating an upper mantle source.

The West Eifel then fell dormant for several hundred thousand years.

430,000 to 360,000 years before present: In the East Eifel the Rieden complex (“Riedener Kessel”) west of the Laacher See had its most productive episode sputtering out several cubic km of lava in larger cinder cones and kilometer long phonolithic lava flows out of a 4 km diameter caldera system.

215,000 to 190,000 years before present: In the East Eifel the Wehr volcano (“Wehrer Kessel”, a 2 km diameter depression) west of the Laacher See and many large scoria cones in the Neuwieder tectonic basin erupted several cubic km of dense rock equivalent. The lava was highly differentiated phonolitic and rich in SiO₂, indicating that country rock had been partially melted. During this time the first Maars were blasted out of the West Eifel volcanic field.

100,000 to 10,000 years before present: the West Eifel field was peppered with Maars still erupting the original lava, the last one to be the Ulmener Maar. Simultaneously, a new kind of lava, basanites, poor in potassium, hence leucite free, presumably from the asthenosphere, created large cinder cones and lava flows sometimes right next to the Maars (e.g. Meerfelder Maar next to the Mosenberg).

In the East Eifel only the Laacher See erupted 12,900 years ago, without doubt the most powerful eruption of all time in the Eifel probably equalling the total output of the West Eifel volcanic field. The Laacher See erupted more than 6 cubic km of magma within days, with an at least 25 km high eruptive column spreading tephra from Italy to Sweden. The magma is thought to have differentiated over several thousand, possibly tens of thousands of years, showing zonation from mafic to evolved phonolite and carbonatite. Pyroclastic flows temporarily built a dam in the Rhine river which eventually broke unleashing torrential floods, illustrated here (in German). Finally the emptied magma chamber collapsed leaving this recreational lake.

The “Loch Lochy” of Germany, the Laacher See. Image by USEBlackbird (Wikimedia Commons)

So the Eifel volcanism occurred in tens to hundred thousand years periods intermitted by hundred thousand years of dormancy. There was a general trend of eruptions starting in the NW progressing to the SE. Eruptions became increasingly voluminous and explosive with time and there was a shift of lava from an upper mantle source to partially melted crust.

Today the Eifel volcanism is dormant. As already featured in Nathan´s post abundant CO₂ emission is a sign that the Eifel volcanic field is not extinct. But also seismically the region is active. Earthquakes during the past 36 years are almost exclusively confined to the upper 15 km. There is no indication of magmatic origin so far. The highest earthquake density is east of the Laacher See and west of the Neuwieder basin along the Ochtendunger fault zone on a NW to SE axis, aligned to the general tectonic setting in the Rhenish Massif.

Recent earthquakes (Sep 2012 to Jan 2013, green, enlarged) and earthquakes dating back 36 years recorded by the seismic station Bensberg, University of Cologne. Image by chryphia.

And here a 3D plot:

Since 1975 up until January 2013 over 1180 local earthquakes were reported by the seismic station Bensberg (University of Cologne) with some increased frequency in the last years.

Earthquake data from the seismic station Bensberg from 1975 to 2013 (between 5.21 and 5.472° lat and 7.25 and 7.65° lon, as in 3D plot). Image by chryphia

Helium and other noble gases that are found in high concentrations around the Laacher See are indicators of the volcanic origin of the Mofettas. Helium isotope 4 (⁴He) is naturally formed in earth´s crust. Another rare Helium isotope, Helium 3 (³He), is produced by fission and bombardement with high-energy cosmic rays, so what we find on earth was created before our solar system formed. In the atmosphere it escapes into space. Looking at the ³He to ⁴He ratio in volcanic gases relative to the ratio in earth´s atmosphere (Ra) gives a clue about the source of the magma. If it´s of deep origin, it still should contain relatively high ³He. The ³He/⁴He ratio measured from Mofettas from the Laacher See is 5.5 Ra, indicating an upper mantle source, but it is less than measured at mid oceanic ridges (8 Ra), thus there is mixing with ⁴He from the crust.

So there we are today. Was this the end of it for the next 100,000 years? As long as the Brubbel squirts and the earth rumbles occasionally we can´t be sure of it. Maybe the ants will tell us one day.

And just in case: a list of webcams

chryphia

Many thanks to Nathan for discussion and support!

Salud El Hierro!

The thermal hot spring bath of Balneario Pozo la Salud. Quite likely the new “to be at” spot for Jacuzzi watching.

The volcanic island of El Hierro is really turning into the Little Volcano that Could.

3 earthquakes seem to have changed the ballgame around once more.  First came two deep earthquakes at a new spot at 10.10 in the morning, both of them at the depth of 20 km. 26 minutes later followed a 2.6M at 10 kilometers depth.

Within minutes a sharp increase was noticed in the high frequency tremor. The tremor lacks low frequency components making this a dead giveaway that we are seeing a de-gassing event. What has happened is that a persistent earthquake swarm north of Balneario Pozo La Salud most likely finally cracked through and things started to move up beyond the de-gassing threshold.

Image by IGN. Please notice the lack of tremor at the lower frequencies.

After the 10.36 earthquake the shallower earthquakes pretty much disappeared and we had an onset of a new active deep earthquake swarm. In retrospect it is clear that we most likely caught the arrival of a new bolus of magma arriving from depth. If so it is the fourth time new magma arrives from the depth.

The deep earthquake swarm roughly follows the same pattern as for the previous 3 arrivals. Activity started at 20 kilometers depth at Tanganasoga, and then moved outwards and slowly dipped deeper. Every arrival has taken a slightly different direction; this one is moving into what can only be seen as pristine territory.

Image by IGN. Notice the 10km swarm north of Pozo la Salud, and the arrival of the new magma at 20km around Tanganasoga, this time moving roughly towards La Restinga area with a slow dip downwards. Remember that it never went this way during the Eruption of Bob south of La Restinga.

It is still too early to see anything on the GPS, but it should start to be visible tomorrow.

Question then is where is the de-gassing happening? My guess is that the guests of Balneario Pozo La Salud might have an interesting wake up call. If they are lucky they will have a brand new hot water Jacuzzi out in the ocean. For those who do not know, Pozo La Salud is a thermal spring bath in El Hierro.

CARL

Friday riddle is still unsolved:

I am the stony product of music that make Pavarotti mate a canis canis sheep mixture, I am spawned out of the apothecary.

What am I? And what is my origin? 3 points to be had, 2 for the name of “What am I”, and 1 for the origin. There is also a cunningly hidden bonus point out there…

El Hierro – Day 2

The face of El Hierran politics, Alpidio Armas.

This will just be a short update with the information that has come at hand.

There seems to be a full on war between Pevolca, Involcan and José Luis Barrera VP of the ICOG (Spannish Association of Geologists). Pevolca has stated that there are some reneval of tectonic earthquakes, with no risk for the population or any need for any measurments to be taken. They also point out that there is no increase in gases. They do though mention that they will be watching things. They have also stated that there is no inflation at El Hierro (GPS).

Involcan has stated there is inflation after studying the GPS system of Professor Sagiya from Nagoya. They also point out that the reason for Pevolca not being able to see any heightened gas levels is that they have not measured the gas since April 5.

http://www.facebook.com/pages/INSTITUTO-VOLCANOLÓGICO-DE-CANARIAS/134042953295772

José Luis Barrera and the ICOG have issued a statement that the more than 350 earthquakes are tectonic, but that they might be a run-up phase for renewed volcanic eruption. They also note that the activity is unusual.

http://www.europapress.es/comunicados/noticia-comunicado-colegio-geologos-muestra-incertidumbre-repunte-actividad-simica-hierro-20120626152109.html

Meanwhile in the real World

While the Spannish authorities and organisations are involved in their usuall pissing contest there are some things worthy of comment.

A little tidbit on the earthquakes during the 48 last hours…
Yesterday had the fifth highest recorded number of earthquakes (241), the highest recorded number is close to 454, and that was in August as the former wad of magma had it’s peak of arrival.
But what is really interesting is that if one take a look at how those quakes break down into size…
Yesterday first, then August number-record.
0-2M 55 (448)
2-3M 180 (6)
3<M 8 (0)

And that would have made yesterday into releasing 5 times as much energy and destroying about 32 times as much rock. It was the record of all time energywhise. This leads me to believe that the amound and speed of arrival is higher this time around. So, the last two days have had the largest accumulated seismic energy release since onset of activity at El Hierro. Energy record in short. And that is note noteworthy according to Pevolca.

LP Earthquakes

The earthquakes today has long amplitude component to them normally associated with magmatic movement into the cracks. These LP earthquakes is considered to be magmatic. There has during the last 8 hours been at least 3 of them. The 17.16 is one of them.
I believe this is onset of movement upwards of magma into the actual system of Tanganasoga.

First LP

Image by IGN. The First LP Earthquake.

Second LP

Image by IGN. The Secong LP Earthquake.

Third LP

Image by IGN. Third LP Earthquake, and what is most likely onset of a heavy magmatic intrusion upwards.

The third LP seems to have opened a conduit somewhere, most likely from the crustal boundary (MOHO) up to the chamber under Tanganasoga, or directly towards Bob. The Long Periodicity Earthquake is caused by an initial earthquake that opens up a fissure, sill or dyke, after that magma moves in to fill the opening, and that creates and unusual type of earthquakes.

Conclusion

There is no reason that I should recant on what I wrote yesterday. I still believe that there is a rather high risk of a new eruption at El Hierro. I still see no reason to not believe it will be in the southern part of the island, or out in the ocean south of La Restinga. I still feel that La Restinga is not entirely safe for it’s population.

Update

While I was writing this post the signal changed sufficiently for me to believe that there is risk that the eruption is either about to start, or has already started. We are all waiting for news, and think about the unprotected civilians in El Hierro.

CARL

Bob – Why bother to stop erupting?

Photograph by Santiago Ferrero. Southern part of El Hierro.

The volcanic vent affectionately known as Bob, a part of the Tanganasoga Volcano, south of El Hierro has resumed its eruption. Many people have declared it dead, Pevolca, IGN and Nemesio Perez has together declared the volcano dead more than 20 times. Declaring an active volcano to be dead seems like a rather futile endeavor. Something the learned gentle-persons should have learned by now.

Yesterday reports started to come in that there was a visible disturbance in the waters south of La Restinga (El Hierro). About the same time there was a marked uptick in earthquake strength and number. The Earthquakes are deep, mainly between 15 and 25 kilometers in depth. The distribution of the earthquakes is well spread, this points towards it being a non-localized event, probably a shock-result as new magma arriving from the depth hits the underside of the crust.

Image by IGN. Earthquakes during the last 48 hours.

This is probably confirmed by the return of the 0.59Hz harmonic tremor visible at the CCAN and EOSO (Gran Canaria) SIL-station.

Image by IGN. Clear and visible harmonic tremor at 0.59Hz.

Today there have been reports at various sites (AVCAN among them) that there is now a visible stain, something that requires an ongoing eruptive process. Also, there is a photograph published at Earthquake Report showing a side scan SONAR image of the ongoing eruption.

Photograph of a sidescan SONAR image, source IGN (via Earthquake Report).

The image is very well defined, a sign of a large amount of coarser ashes and solids being suspended, and ejected upwards in the water. Light ashes and gases are less well defined than shown on the image. To the right one can see a spot where material is falling back onto the sea-floor. This is where the heavier aggregate looses buoyancy and gets separated from the lighter material.

Effects

I have written many times that as long as the eruption continues at Bob there is not any great risk for the island and its inhabitants. This is due to Bob functioning as a pressure release valve stopping pressure to build up enough for a catastrophic failure in the volcano proper’s overburden (the volcanic edifice of Tanganasoga).

The current spot of eruption is the original cone that started the eruption, not the later vent up on the ridge (a bit further to the right than the image shows). Last figure set the vent at 120 meters depth. The reason for it being lower now is that it is constructed mainly out of loose material (pillow-lava and tephra) that has both compacted due to its own weight, and been reduced in volume by the local currents in the water.

There is currently no indication that this new eruptive phase will stop any time soon since the earthquake activity is continuing to increase in frequency and strength.

Sadly due to the supression of GPS data by Involcan and its managing director Nemesio Perez there is no GPS data whatsoever that can be published. Due to this censorship we can not say anything about how and if the volcano is inflating. I find this behaviour despicable and dangerous for the residents of El Hierro. I would also state that it is sad that the webcams are now gone as a result of Alpidio Armas machinations.

CARL